Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005407 0.005981 0.006603 0.007330 0.008159 0.009076 0.010175
2025-07-27 0.004430 0.005206 0.006113 0.007261 0.008687 0.010418 0.012705
2025-08-03 0.003903 0.004770 0.005834 0.007256 0.009133 0.011563 0.015013
2025-08-10 0.003495 0.004402 0.005560 0.007174 0.009408 0.012461 0.017071
2025-08-17 0.003228 0.004173 0.005419 0.007224 0.009833 0.013576 0.019560
2025-08-24 0.002967 0.003920 0.005212 0.007144 0.010042 0.014383 0.021686
2025-08-31 0.002705 0.003638 0.004934 0.006923 0.010005 0.014794 0.023222
2025-09-07 0.002539 0.003475 0.004806 0.006904 0.010260 0.015674 0.025658
2025-09-14 0.002459 0.003427 0.004837 0.007123 0.010906 0.017262 0.029602
2025-09-21 0.002298 0.003248 0.004656 0.006988 0.010952 0.017827 0.031734
2025-09-28 0.002154 0.003083 0.004482 0.006848 0.010967 0.018332 0.033822
2025-10-05 0.002057 0.002982 0.004401 0.006849 0.011226 0.019306 0.037038
2025-10-12 0.001994 0.002935 0.004408 0.007011 0.011811 0.021021 0.042310
2025-10-19 0.001889 0.002815 0.004288 0.006947 0.011976 0.021947 0.046051
2025-10-26 0.001806 0.002724 0.004208 0.006943 0.012251 0.023134 0.050692
2025-11-02 0.001716 0.002617 0.004094 0.006865 0.012369 0.023999 0.054731
2025-11-09 0.001656 0.002554 0.004051 0.006912 0.012744 0.025482 0.060794
2025-11-16 0.001581 0.002461 0.003947 0.006836 0.012852 0.026375 0.065460
2025-11-23 0.001490 0.002337 0.003782 0.006627 0.012655 0.026519 0.067975
2025-11-30 0.001435 0.002271 0.003717 0.006609 0.012869 0.027691 0.073988
2025-12-07 0.001416 0.002268 0.003763 0.006816 0.013610 0.030308 0.085543
2025-12-14 0.001352 0.002180 0.003650 0.006689 0.013569 0.030890 0.090359
2025-12-21 0.001291 0.002096 0.003538 0.006556 0.013501 0.031390 0.095070